Press Releases

Fiscal 2002

October 9, 2002
Asahi Kasei Corporation

Notice of revision of forecast results

Forecast results for the semiannual period ending September 30, 2002 and for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2003 announced on May 14, 2002 have been revised as follows:

1. For the semiannual period ending September 30, 2002
Consolidated (millions of yen)
   Net sales Operating profit Ordinary profit Net income (loss)
Original forecast 585,000 22,000 16,000 4,000
Revised forecast 580,000 24,000 18,000 (43,000)
Increase (decrease) (5,000) 2,000 2,000 (47,000)
Percent change -0.9% +9.1% +12.5%
cf. Semiannual period
ended September 30, 2001
600,057 23,715 20,655 3,062
  
Non-consolidated (millions of yen)
   Net sales Operating profit Ordinary profit Net income (loss)
Original forecast 440,000 11,000 8,000 1,000
Revised forecast 435,000 12,000 10,000 (41,000)
Increase (decrease) (5,000) 1,000 2,000 (42,000)
Percent change -1.1% +9.1% +25.0%
cf. Semiannual period
ended September 30, 2001
461,253 12,577 14,386 2,513


2. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2003
Consolidated (millions of yen)
   Net sales Operating profit Ordinary profit Net income (loss)
Original forecast 1,195,000 48,000 36,000 9,000
Revised forecast 1,200,000 54,000 43,000 (46,000)
Increase (decrease) 5,000 6,000 7,000 (55,000)
Percent change +0.4% +12.5% +19.4%
cf. Fiscal year ended
March 31, 2002
1,195,393 45,664 39,849 5,180
  
Non-consolidated (millions of yen)
   Net sales Operating profit Ordinary profit Net income (loss)
Original forecast 900,000 25,000 18,000 2,000
Revised forecast 910,000 30,000 25,000 (48,000)
Increase (decrease) 10,000 5,000 7,000 (50,000)
Percent change +1.1% +20.0% +38.9%
cf. Fiscal year ended
March 31, 2002
922,086 25,159 27,965 1,028

3. Reasons for revision

 

For the fiscal half year
Results are expected to exceed our original forecast in electronics operations, with strong markets for electronics parts, and in health care operations, with strong growth for new pharmaceuticals and for artificial kidneys. However, results in other operations are now expected to fall short of our original forecast. Sales price increases in chemical and chemical-related operations, particularly for commodity resins, could not be implemented rapidly enough to absorb the increased costs resulting from persistently high naphtha prices. Results in housing and construction materials operations reflected the severe operating climate, with a decrease in the number of housing units sold and continuing low market prices for construction materials.

In addition, a change in our accounting treatment of actuarial differences arising in relation to retirement allowances will result in reduced operating expenses, and overall consolidated operating profit is expected to remain roughly on par with our original forecast.

Retirement benefits
Asahi Kasei has begun implementing revisions to rationalize its system of retirement benefits, and proxy execution of a portion of pension benefit plans pursuant to the Japanese Welfare Pension Insurance Law is being relinquished for reversion to national government execution. To expedite reflection on the financial statements of the large amount of unrecognized obligations which had accumulated by the end of the previous fiscal year, our accounting policy for amortization of actuarial differences is being revised. Beginning with the present fiscal period, unrecognized actuarial differences will be amortized in the fiscal year following their occurrence. Previously, unrecognized actuarial differences were amortized on a straight-line basis beginning in the fiscal year following their occurrence over a given term (mainly ten years) within the average number of years of employee service remaining before retirement at the time of occurrence.

 

To facilitate the transition to one-year amortization of unrecognized actuarial differences, the ¥126.0 billion (¥120.2 billion non-consolidated) amount accumulated at the beginning of the present fiscal period will be charged as a one-time special loss. At the same time, a one-time special gain of ¥56.1 billion (same amount non-consolidated) will be recorded due to the reversion of proxy execution of a portion of the national pension. Largely as a result of these extraordinary items, a net loss of ¥43.0 billion is now forecast for the fiscal half.

For the fiscal year
The outlook for the operating environment remains obscure, with the US economy tending toward slower growth and the Japanese economy facing intensifying deflationary pressure. Results in chemical and chemical-related operations are expected to benefit from sales price increases and operating cost reductions. The operating environment for housing and construction materials and for liquors, where a transfer of part of the business has resulted in a smaller-scale operating base, is expected to remain extremely challenging. Results in fibers and textiles operations will be impaired by the effects of the Leona Plant fire. Results on par with our original forecast are expected in electronics operations, which, despite uncertainty about whether strong demand will be sustained, will be supported by the strong first fiscal half, and in health care operations, where sound performance is expected to continue.

The portion of operating expenses from amortization of actuarial differences arising in relation to retirement benefits will be reduced, and overall net sales and operating profit are expected to remain roughly on par with our original forecast.

Dividends
Despite the severe forecast for net results, we believe the maintenance of long-term stability of dividends is of vital importance, and plan to implement dividends of ¥3 per share for both the first half and second half of the fiscal year.

Note: Performance forecasts are based on the best information available at this time, but actual results may diverge from these forecasts due to a variety of factors which cannot be foreseen.

 

Forecast by sector (consolidated)

 

1. For the semiannual period ending September 30, 2002 (billions of yen)

 

2. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2003 (billions of yen)


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